THREE PHASES CIVILIZATION COLLAPSE
Last Phase-Post Oil
Here is the easiest-post oil. Easy because it is exactly how things have always been since the last Giant Sloth was hunted down by a hairless ape wearing fur and the climate change ( Gore Warming Version One-just prior to Al inventing the Internet ) making a mess of hundreds of thousands or millions of years of evolution and forcing man into the unnatural and crappy Agricultural Revolution ( man might have only lived to forty, but he was eating barbeque several times a week and working about 3 hours a day. Come farming, all he got was gruel and a king who could smite him at whim, working dawn to dusk ). All the asparagus eaters should be creaming their jeans because unless you live out in The Wastes herding, you are stuck as a serf scratching the soil with a wooden stick and hoping His Most Exalted Poo-Ba King Of All He Surveys has had a good day and won’t take all your food this time, leaving you to starve ( or, the wolves don’t eat your newborn [can’t have a weapon to defend yourself] or the bandits don’t skin you alive as they shun your fat ugly wife [how the bitch stay fat on a gruel diet is a bit mysterious] or The Plague doesn’t melt off your junk ). Yep, soon enough it is back to a crappy life of servitude and famine. Nothing much more to talk about here. But a few things must be remembered in the grand scheme of things. You must beware and plan of technology devolution, slavery is assured to return, all wealth will be in land and metal is going to be once again a scarce resource even amongst its present abundance.
You must wrap your head around the absolute scarcity of current petroleum products. ALL the easy shallow low pollutant oil is gone. There will be no more Pennsylvania wells dug with water pipe. No more surface oil seeping up on its own accord. ALL the high energy coal is gone, replaced by crappy yielding sources far below ground. We are already at the crap stages of industrial energy. Come collapse, no energy is going to be extracted by primitive technology. We are already scooping mountains flat or digging new canyons and using huge machines, bigger than you ever imaged as you guided Bob The Builders Official Bulldozer across the living room trailed by the reeking discharge on your overripe diaper. Not high tech machines per se, just really big and powerless without oil themselves. Our oil alternate mining machines need oil to run. All our energy and all our ore are extracted by giant machines unable to be duplicated on a smaller lower tech lower energy scale. They are gone. No more oil, no more systems built on oil. And no more cheap chemicals based on oil. Which means no more modern anything. Transportation, weapons, farming. Even old tractors with bio-diesel need petroleum lubricants and eventually a critical pare part won’t exist or can’t be fabricated. Even black powder rifles need good steel barrels. And scavenging will only last so long, complicated by the decades long recent trend towards planned sub-quality materials. You can keep the modern era alive for some time, but certainly not forever.
Slavery is nobodies idea of fun, but I can guaranty you anything I own ( perhaps even the wife, yes? Yes? Anyone? ) that it will return post-oil. Don’t listen to those chicken molesting Yankee apologists that the Civil War was over slavery. The war was about States being subjugated by the Federal government. And don’t pay any attention to those pious asswhore Lime suckers that felt so badly that their little brown brothers in their former colony were enslaved. The Brits only outlawed slavery to protect the machines ( slaves and delicate expensive industrial machines don’t mix well ). They certainly were in no hurry to outlaw having serfs for ones very own castle, what? And those bastards loved to mow down the Irish and Indians ( dots, not feathers ) during famines rather than risk losing one farthings worth of profits ( of course, I don’t hate all Brits, just the power elite through the ages. Just as I don’t hate ALL Yankees but just most since they mostly went along with colonizing the South and then making a living disguising it ). The ONLY reason slavery was abolished was because coal and then oil became a much, much cheaper form of free energy. Which is the only reason slavery exists. Read Carefully: FREE, repeat as many times as it takes for you to comprende, FREE energy. It isn’t about racism. That is the justification, not the reason. This stuff is so simple even I can understand it.
Wealth will go back to being tied to the land. Period. Without petroleum, food is no longer almost free. It becomes very dear indeed. And hence wealth, and military power, reside in its surplus. Again, simple stuff. We got distracted for a time. When the King Of Kenya can print up hundreds of trillions of dollars ( the actual idiot that ran the African country, not the immigrant that is in the White House ) it simply astonishes me that folks place so much faith and expend so much energy lusting after paper money. And you know our system is pretty screwed up when a sixteen year long education ( accomplished with about five years of wages worth of college debt ) teaches people so little they think getting into another ten years worth of wages in debt to “own” ( you never own your house. The bank does, then the property tax collecting agency does ) their very own stick built sheetrock stucco covered shell designed to hold in central heat and air, built in a desert with no place to even garden, is a really good idea. Education-less peasants built their own house with labor and free local materials ( of course, to be fair, most places now won’t allow you to do so. Anywhere there is a job, staying out of the bankers clutches is literally illegal ). My point is, they think this is normal. And any thinking person should see the flaws here. People put all their faith in a joke of a house and a joke of a currency. Wealth, real wealth, is feeding yourself ( and in a post-collapse world, more importantly, feeding your lord also ). It isn’t resale value of a dwelling only kept habitable by a dwindling resource, nor is it Monopoly money forced into circulation by force. Ten thousand years ago to recently, wealth was farmland and water and will be again real soon.
Metal is everywhere. But why do you assume there will be high current AC electricity to use power tools to reshape it, or the energy needed to re-smelt it and reuse it for more important tasks? A blacksmith can get you horseshoes and hand tools. He’s not so great at specialty steels, fabricated parts, extreme tolerances. We might never run out of metal, but it is doubtful we will keep any of our machines running or be able to duplicate them. Anything above cold filing might even be problematic if an area sees energy shortages. The Ancients weren’t ignorant savages. They merely lacked the needed energy sources to advance. Unlike ourselves, who having had a burst of high energy fuel, wasted it with amazing stupidity and then allowed that energy to do so much of our work we’ve regressed mentally almost completely across the board. The future isn’t going to be exactly like the past, but enough so that you shouldn’t delude yourself that high tech toys will stick around. Be ready to devolve. And not in a hippie commune tree hugging windmill powering the boom box playing a CD of bongos serenading unicorns kind of way but a nastier serfs starving amid Thirty Year Wars while dying of Plague kind of way. Cause oil ain’t going to feed or overfeed you, primer ignited Colts aren’t going to make you all equal, and the new normal is the old normal.
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