It’s a good thing most people either parrot the party line or don’t think twice about passing on common knowledge or I’d have a heck of a lot more work to do filling up a blog. As it is I can usually make a career out of refuting most sacred cows. So let’s talk about what “they” think is going to happen come the collapse as relates to inner city gangs. The usual answer is “gangs will rule the cities after stealing all the food” and “they aren’t going very far because they are territorial and don’t know about the country” ( with a sub-category of “they shall pour over the land as locusts”). I’ll be more than happy to point out what poppycock these two notions are and hopefully after genuflecting in my direction ( northeast for most of you ) you will take what I have to say under advisement as you are planning your strategies. As they always say, Follow The Money. But of course, even then, they don’t also tell you to Know Your Enemy ( you most take into account “true believers” which interacts with Follow The Money ). Doing these two mental exercises will tell you how things generally work, today and in the future. Just don’t confuse money with real wealth. Today it is a substitute for historical wealth which is usually only one trade removed from food ( all the jockeying for power and position, military campaigns and taxes and social regimentation and everything else is just about food supply in the end ).
You can Follow The Money easily enough. Gangs are about securing a trade which makes them money. In this case, since the government makes a pant load of money keeping drugs illegal, the gangs leech off that trade. If drugs were legal they would be involved in any other activity which was deemed unacceptable by The Big Gang In Power, the government. As most Libertarians will tell you, that is all government is ( what they won’t tell you, mainly because they are blinded by dogma, is that the parasite is also necessary and will never be obsolete ), a gang. The big boy on the block. And if you look at gang culture, there are parallels with medieval warrior classes ( when power was stripped down to bare essentials due to lack of surplus ). Gangs are just embryotic governments. And in most places they ARE the government. The south of the border gangs are not just wild out of control terrorists our “journalists” like to portray, keeping the population huddled behind their sofa’s in fear ( and the media painting our gang neighborhoods as such are just True Believer propaganda we’ll get to in a minute ). They might act out in retaliation with a more naked show of force and terror, but they are acting as government does, just without the happy clown face attached. You don’t think our government doesn’t strive to keep the citizens cowed in terror?
You can’t rely on our media for the answers about gangs. They are making money off the fear and entertainment factor, but they are also True Believers in the official gang in power using more terror to gain more power. Gangs aren’t just homicidal glue sniffing trigger happy idiots. Follow the money. The territory wars are about keeping power. And the reason they stay in their territory is because the official gang cordons them off. We need the drug distributors to stay in business, but they aren’t allowed to endanger the other business of shaking down white bread suburbia for extra taxes in exchange for protection against the very gangs they empower by making drugs illegal. Come the collapse, a gang will Follow The Money and go where the new wealth is going to be. Farmland. They aren’t going to stay put and slowly starve. With only three day’s supply of food in a city, and given that most of the population will consume that prior to being killed, the battle to steal all the food can’t start soon enough to enable a victor to survive too long on the spoils. Just like individuals won’t be 100% certain the collapse just started, and will wait to see how events will unfold, so too will gangs be hesitant to strike immediately. Even in an overnight collapse such as all out nuclear war or an asteroid impact, you can’t know immediately how the cops and military will react and with how much force.
As far as marauding armies, you won’t see viable gangs going from farm to farm. And by viable, I mean those that are good enough to survive the first winter. In this discussion, we are generalizing. Some gangs will stay, some gangs will wander helplessly. But those with intelligent leaders won’t be so stupid. No one expends more energy than necessary or endangers their life needlessly. It is far safer and uses less energy to take over a farm area and rule it, enriching yourself through taxes. Sure, you might launch harvest time raids. But that is usually out of desperation. Even the Vikings had a reason for their wandering mayhem ( surplus males in search of homesteads and mates ) which was logistically sound. They weren’t mere parasites thinking they couldn’t kill the golden goose. They fought, then settled. Their sons might have then attacked another area, but it was to be the new ruler, not just a wanderer in search of treasure ( even most pirates fought under official sanction and attacked the proper ships ). In short, it is wishful thinking or just propaganda nonsense to think gangs are the stereotypical biker gang portrayed in fiction. They are your next government, and they will act like one.
All of my links and information: