WHEAT CYCLES AND PEEno16
I plowed through “Cycles”, the 1940’s book on business cycles, not totally impressed but mildly interested enough that the $10 price wasn’t a waste. The problem was that the place I saw a reference for the book, “Babylon’s Banksters” ( the first book of that authors I ended up being disappointed with ), had pretty much covered every aspect of the book already. But I did get one gem out of the book ( sometimes that is enough to make your time and money worth it ) and that was the Wheat Cycle. Some poor schlub, probably thinking if he researched dusty archives for a few years he could get tenure at a college and have a lifetime access to Young Strange ( personally I don’t know what guys see in much younger women. When they have the same generational fashion statement as my daughter it is hard for me to generate any sexual attraction- for obvious reasons ) complied 700 years of wheat prices in England. And behold, they quite closely followed a 54 year cycle. If you were just looking back through a short two centuries such as in the US or just back to the start of colonialism, this wouldn’t be such a wonderful thing ( being obviously skewed ). But come on! After seven centuries you pretty much have to take this cycle seriously ( it wasn’t just sunspot activity thought to be the cause but other solar effects also such as ozone or whatnot ).
A short exercise will validate this cycle for homegrown use. The book was published in the 40’s. Using their previous cycle numbers, the low commodity price years are 1790, 1844, 1898 and the high point for prices was 1817, 1871 and 1925. Which calculates out to low price years 1952 and 2006. And high peaks in commodity prices at 1979 and 2033. If you’ll recall the 70’s inflation and the Eighties recovery, 1979 as the year prices peaked isn’t too far off ( these are cycles, not 100% accurate year forecasts. Off by a small margin does not invalidate the theory over the long haul ). Also, what has been going up since the previous mid decade? Food prices. Totally discounting Peak Oil, just the Wheat Cycle alone would tell you all you want to know about grain prices in your lifetime. The next twenty years are going to see ever increasing wheat prices. Buy now! Do not futz around, do not pause to scratch yourself vigorously. Buy now.
PREPPER EMERGENCY ESSENTIALS
Most Marshmallow People have no conception of cold or hot weather. They visit the South and ponder how anyone could live without air conditioning ( you can’t say, “they just did but couldn’t have enjoyed it”. Look at population densities worldwide. Most folks live in very hot and humid climates. It seems to be our natural default preference. Extra crops/better plant weather equals less work earning calories ). They run from a warm house to a warm car and then into a warm workplace/shopping establishment and proclaim “Oooo, it’s cold out there”. Meaning, they briefly experienced a short duration of temperatures below 74 degrees. They have no friggin clue what cold really is. I read a news account one time of a power outage where the outside worker they interviewed had piled on his cotton clothing in several layers and was bitching about the cold. Obviously, his previous work had had lots of breaks in front of a heater, since he had no clue how to dress for the cold. Layers are the right idea, but you need wool.
Most people, as kids, were forced to wear wool and experienced its itchy quality ( the better, more expensive wool doesn’t itch. Back in The Day, I can’t imagine many parents looking at a soon to be outgrown piece of clothing and thinking it needed to be top price high quality ). I’m not bothered by it anymore, but if you are you merely need a non-wool layer of clothing underneath the outer layers of wool. Not rocket science. Wool keeps sheep alive in winter, long before heated barns came around ( even in the barns in extreme weather locations, when the loft of hay is the insulation and the body heat is enough to keep a well-built barn from getting too cold, the poor guys still need that wool coat to stay comfortable ). Wool is THE winter gear. You can buy it cheap at thrift stores ( stockpile much more than you think you’ll need- at a buck or three a sweater it makes a very good barter item. It will take several winters for homegrown industries to emerge ). You can repair it yourself, make it yourself and it is natural and renewable ( and, it is a bit fire resistant and slightly anti-bacterial ). And, along with a feather comforter, several wool blankets will eliminate the need for nighttime winter heating in the house ( feel free to pass along some of your savings to me ).
The only trick with wool is you can’t hang it to dry or use the dryer. Use a very mild soap, such as Woolite or dish soap and hand wash the garment. In the winter, I switch out sweaters every month and then if my last sweater takes a week to dry it’s no big deal. Gently hand wring out and LAY THE PIECE DOWN FLAT. Do not hang. You can lay a towel over it and blot to help dry. Perhaps keep changing the underneath towel. Keep out of the sun and do not apply direct heat. Let it dry out on its own. And beware, the shape it stays wet will be the shape it stays dry. Which is why you don’t hang it, it will elongate and distort. I can comfortably work out in fifteen degrees with only two sweaters to keep my torso warm ( obviously, other parts need other things to keep warm ), a thin wool sweater under a medium wool sweater over a thin shirt. As long as the wind doesn’t force me to put a shell over them, and with modest movement, I stay toasty. That is the magic of wool ( leather is the best outer layer. It shields from wind and moisture and has warming properties itself. My gloves are now leather mitten shells, with wool mitten inserts. By getting rid of my hand brake bicycle and going with a pedal brake I can wear these much warmer but bulky hand protectors ).
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