Thursday, July 11, 2013

PEEno13

I don't know how happy I am about this article, but it's all I've got today ( you remember Thursday, half day at work, when I play Laundry Bitch- I usually pre-write this one the prior weekend ).
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PEEno13

PREPPER EMERGENCY ESSENTIALS

Peak Oil

 

To be completely honest with you, I had envisioned Peak Oil as another Y2K, although about twenty times worse ( with the power out at midnight in the year 2000 one could expect mass die-offs immediately from the weather.  A bit of a safety valve.  With Peak Oil, there would be much more mayhem by many more people fighting in desperation much longer ).  An immediate panic as the oil ceased to flow in prodigious quantities, everyone screaming and panicking like the end of the movie Miracle Mile, assholes and elbows as it were.  Yes, I’m being slightly dramatic.  But I did see us as having collapsed quite a long time ago.  I didn’t really see a decade or two of economic disaster first ( we are in year eight of Peak Oil Global Version here in 2013 ).  And while I was blind to anything other than total collapse immediately, it seems most folks are blind to anything other than Business As Usual ( even survivalists, and that is Pure D embarrassing ).  They take the stop gap emergency measures we have used to forestall collapse and use them as a magic talisman proving in their minds that the collapse shall never happen at all.  Because mankind denuded his environment so many times before and survived, even prospered a time or two ( England going from trees to coal which at the time seemed a step back ), and because we have been absolutely blinded by 500 years of western civilization surplus, few can comprehend anything but prosperity full speed ahead ( even with an economic depression they see absolutely no way we could ever run out of finite resources ).

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The US pulled all the global surplus corn ( that’s maize to you Limey’s ) and turned it into a pathetic substitute for 10% of our gasoline ( since ethanol delivers less BTU’s per volume than gas, your ten percent is delivering about 7% equivalent- a 3% cut in power for more money! ).  As first seen in the Mexican Tortilla Crisis, then all across the Middle East, poor folk everywhere revolted against price increases they literally couldn’t afford for basic sustenance.  Rather than ending the ethanol program and bribing stability everywhere, Obammy The Kenyan just continues to trash talk governments and send troops everywhere insurrection flares up-which is pretty much everywhere ( of course, in his defense, it might be too late now and there isn’t enough corn to do the job. After all, our gasoline consumption continues to fall, so if we continue to grow less corn few actually notice.  Just blame the drought on $10 a pound beef ).  The issue at hand isn’t even ethanol alone but the increase in petroleum price ( which is just fuel to food ) AND the continuing weather issues globally ( it isn’t Gore Warming-locally our worst summer on record was 1917, long before we started burning all this dinosaur juice- it is a return from a benign weather period to the normal chaotic all over the map kind ).  Ethanol is just the cherry on top of the crap sundae.

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While using half our corn to replace a mere 10% of our gasoline is really stupid, it has a hairlipped cousin called Frac Oil.  Frac Oil and Frac Gas ( natural gas, not gasoline ) have been around for decades, but back then no oil man right in the head would have suggested it was a good idea.  While Texas Sweet would have returned a 50 to 1 energy ( energy return on energy invested, EROI ) ration, fracturing was a dismal single digit to one.  It isn’t a new technology, it is a bottom of the barrel technique, on par with stripper wells ( old wells with very low output ).  Don’t get me wrong, it is better than nothing.  We went from domestic production of five million barrels a day to six because of it ( with ethanol thrown in, ignoring the increased energy required for both which might make the whole thing a net energy sink ).  Of course, we use almost twenty million a day, so it sure as hell ain’t Energy Independence like so many claim.  Fracking is very expensive and a well can drop in production as fast as 60% the first year alone.  It isn’t a hundred years of supply.  Perhaps five.  With a lot more investment for a lot more wells. 

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I’ll admit the market, the gooberment, The Powers That Be, whoever, did an admirable job kicking the can down the road energy wise.  One always pays a price of course.  There Ain’t No Free Lunch.  We’ve had a huge cereal surplus here for a long time ( previously turned into meat and dairy and sugar, so from oil to corn to 70% of America’s food ).  By turning to ethanol we gave up that surplus, doubled our food prices and threw the entire Third World into political chaos ( oil price increases worked as a rationing system mostly there, so they get oil scarcity first, making domestic production problematic, then food import price increases ).  At a time when global grain production is being hit by bad weather we turn to grain for fuel.  It keeps the suburbs alive, or at least on life support, but the price is soon to be paid.  The First American Caliph doesn’t have enough troops to extinguish all of the brushfires he started ( yes, Bush The Younger started the ethanol fiasco, but Obammy kept it going ) and pretty soon, if he keeps up his stupidity mistreating the military ( forcing units to accept female combatants, treating all returning troops as if they were dangerous psychos and etcetera ) he will have to rely on mercenary troops which are much more expensive.  In the long run, ethanol creates many more problems than it solves.  The frac oil, beyond local pollution and possibly increased earthquake activity, will cause some disruption such as diverting drilling resources from elsewhere, but in the end will be of little account other than the blinders it pulled over the public’s eyes and the false hope it dangerously birthed.

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8 comments:

  1. Where was it I saw that chart that fracking production was already declining? Doesn't matter that ride is almost over I think. Just a little last minute desperate blip to try and stem the downward arc.

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    1. To us, we believe it is all hype and don't need a chart ( although it would be nice for second guessing future pricing of gasoline ) but to the Idiot Puke Glen Beck's of the world, no chart will convince them we don't have centuries of energy left.

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  2. Jim one thing that will be a tattle tell sign of a total energy collapse.When we hear of a proposal to add a dollar or more fuel tax a gallon.the guberment has always used tax as a way to destroy consumption.By reducing consumption they will also reduce size of the military theater.Oh we will still be in the major exporters but will abandon the marginal ones.Lower military cost ad increased tax revenue will look good on paper but will be the start of the PODA.A year till you start to hear we need this tax.A lot of other countrys have already done this.All that has saved us is being the reserve currancy{worth less paper for tangable goods}and its days are numbered.

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    1. The market forces ( dampening demand ) are probably too slow for TPTB. If they do try to force down consumption via that tax you got to figure things are a lot worse than reported

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  3. http://www.thespringoflife.net/hemp.html
    (abbreviated long article)
    Hemp (Cannabis sativa) – (Hemp aint pot)Hemp contains such a tiny amount of THC (the psychoactive chemical found in marijuana) that it has no negative effects on humans. Hemp is actually one of the most healthful plants ever known to mankind. On top of that, it lends itself to the production of paper, cosmetics, building materials, textiles, non-toxic diesel fuel, paint, varnish, detergent, ink, lubricating oil, etc. Hemp is an unpretentious plant that can be grown in many climates.

    History: Hemp has been known to mankind for at least 10,000 years. A piece of hemp fabric has been found that dates back to 8,000 BC. Throughout history, whole populations have survived off hemp seed in times of famine. Chinese and Ayurvedic medicines have prescribed hemp for a myriad of diseases. Hemp was grown by farmers in the United States for hundreds of years. The United States presidents Washington and Jefferson grew hemp and praised it in their writings. Hemp was a major American crop in the 18th and 19th centuries, until a man named Harry Anslinger began promoting anti-marijuana legislation around the world, causing the prohibition of hemp cultivation in 1937. During World War II, when the U.S. was short of rope, fabric, and other materials, a campaign called “Hemp for Victory” was launched. Farmers were encouraged to grow hemp in great quantities. Though this was allowed, there was no increase of marijuana consumption. Still, after WW II, hemp farming was again banned.

    Interesting facts: One acre of hemp produces as much fibre as 2-3 acres of cotton. Hemp produces softer and more durable fabric than cotton. The very first pair of Levi Strauss jeans were made of hemp. No pesticides, fungicides, or herbicides are needed to grow hemp, while 50% of the world’s pesticides, fungicides, and herbicides are used to grow cotton. One acre of hemp produces the same amount of paper as 2-4 acres of trees AND it is much better in quality. Hemp paper stays intact for hundreds of years. The first ever printed Bible was been printed on hemp paper. Hemp can be used to make sturdy, resistant, and environmentally-friendly fibreboard and plastic. Henry Ford made a whole car of hemp in the beginning of the 20th century.

    f this article was helpful to You and You would like to share it with someone else, You are more than welcome to copy it. But You are requested to add my name - Eve Juurik- and my website address - http://www.TheSpringOfLife.net - to the article. All the material is copyrighted. Thank You!

    Many blessings & success to You,
    Eve

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    1. Since the Feds think you will smoke your Levi's you can't even grow industrial hemp here. Ignorant monkey molesters. DuPont was screwing us way before Nam.

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  4. Hemp
    After the recent introduction of bill SB 50, which received backing from Senators Mitch McConnell and Rand Paul, Kentucky Governor Beshear has announced he will take no action on the measure, which by default makes Kentucky the ninth U.S. state to allow growing of industrial hemp.

    The victory is being celebrated by hemp advocacy organizations and manufacturers of hemp products who can legally sell hemp foods, oils and other finished hemp products in the U.S., but cannot grow the plant, forcing them to source from hemp farmers in countries including Canada and China. “Kentucky has a long history of industrial hemp farming, and the state is poised to lead the hemp farming and processing industry again, as soon as the federal government recognizes the value of hemp and allows states to oversee its production,” Eric Steenstra, president of Vote Hemp, the nation’s largest hemp advocacy organization, said in a statement. “With the U.S. hemp industry valued at an estimated $500 million in annual retail sales and growing, a change in federal policy to once again allow hemp farming would mean instant job creation, among many other economic and environmental benefits.”

    Other states may also see pending legislation pass including Alabama, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Vermont, Washington, and West Virginia—all of which have had hemp measures introduced this year. Michigan is expected to add one as well. But with strict Federal regulations still prohibiting hemp under the Controlled Substances Act, it’s unlikely that industrial hemp will be growing anytime soon in the U.S.

    Currently, hemp is categorized as a Schedule 1 banned substance by the Controlled Substances Act for its relative similarity to its cousin cannabis, which contains high levels of psychoactive mind-altering chemicals. But industrial hemp differs from marijuana in that it does not produce a high, and has a multitude of industrial uses. It’s commonly found in Dr. Bronner’s Magic Soap, and the shelled hemp seeds are highly nutritious, now available in a number of foods. It can also be made into a clothing textile and an alternatives to plastic and petroleum.

    Keep in touch with Jill on Twitter @jillettinger

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    1. See how pathetic our government is now. The States, under the 9th and 10th Ammendment ( remember those? ) pass laws. The Federals say, how sweet. Now shut the hump up and do as we say.

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