Tuesday, June 11, 2013

PEEno6


PEEno6

PREPPER EMERGENCY ESSENTIALS

How Much Food Should You Store?

 

Unfortunately for the sake of humanity, the normal human has a tendency to farm out almost all brain functions.  Someone somewhere some time ago degreed that the righteous and correct way of storing food was to have a year’s supply per person in the family.  Most likely this followed the practice of old timey farmers to have some food set aside for the very real possibility of a systematic crop failure.  Of course, even that assumption was flawed since the farmer, even though he had a plan B in that storage, any plan C was to rely on outside resupply.  All fine and dandy as far as that went.  But a survivalist is not supposed to be a farmer, although a farmer may be a survivalist.  A survivalist is supposed to have enough brain cells to rub together to figure out how bad things CAN get and then prepare for them.  Alas, most “survivalists” read Jerry Ahern in the early 80’s and since then the movement seems to be little more than Suzy Shoppers clad in camo rather than pink hair curlers and fuzzy house slippers, gleefully cackling amongst themselves as they wantonly shove glittery “as seen on TV” products into their grocery cart.  Instead of thinking for themselves they follow the same old tired advice and stockpile one year’s supply of food.  The only survival expert I’ve ever run across that advocates multiple year’s supply of storage food is Survival Acres guy ( my bad on calling him out of his greenhouse dependency- that is for fresh produce and for luxury items rather than a calorie source ).

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Y2K was a pretty sorry mess as far as the survival movement.  That was when the gross overconsumption really took hold.  The 80’s activity, in direct response to near systematic collapse only averted by converting the goldish dollar to the PetroDollar, was better geared towards system independence.  There was more emphasis on off grid roughing it than today, where we simply consume our way towards a facsimile of independence.  Even the supposed off grid homestead movement is little more than high consumer activity disguised as independence, a mortgage to the bank for farmland absolutely no less dependent of the system than a job in the city.  Once again, the lone survivalist gives up thinking and relies on the advice of the expert.  And an expert is merely one who proclaims competence and charges accordingly.  Buyer beware, apparently, being a lost art.  So let me be clear on this.  A one year food supply is as inadequate as a one week supply for almost all apocalypse scenarios outside a one week power outage or a passing natural disaster.  Relying on a one year supply is the same as that ancient farmer putting his trust on outside suppliers to feed him at the beginning of Year Two.  Back when the world was living in the old ten thousand year solar agrarian economy, this was all very well and good.  Yet even then the system had serious flaws such as writing off local regions to unusual weather activities such as extreme El Nino’s or Little Ice Ages. 

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Today, the ten thousand year cycle is broken.  When we destroyed the solar agrarian model in favor of carbon fuel replacements, we destroyed an infrastructure.  One that can only be replaced after the die-off and only incrementally.  Certainly we can’t implement any kind of replacement for today’s system in time to save more than the one or two people that built that system themselves.  As far as society as a whole, it is impossible.  Just as the Mayans centralized their water storage, displacing village units for regional ones ( in effect destroying them as maintenance was shifted ) and then died-off when extreme weather events made their farming system obsolete and they had no other method to use, we will be repeating their demise.  Not too long ago, every city had the surrounding land as farms and livestock production.  The farm itself produced the transportation method to get the food to the city.  Almost no region globally still follows this pattern as urbanization has spread out and covered all former farmlands.  In its place, machines intense farm far away fields and the food is shipped long distances to the city.  The scary thing anymore is not that the majority of humanity lives in cities.  No, the real horror is that farms are now suburbs and only petroleum can deliver food. 

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It doesn’t matter what demise you envision.  Peak Oil, Barnyard Flu, nuclear war, cyber-attack, solar flares.  Any interruption in the fuel supply, and its delivery world-wide, interrupts the food supply to the cities.  Once the fuel stops, so does the urban eating.  And as if that isn’t bad enough, with most non-Third World economies using Just In Time inventories, what is in each households cupboard is it for the next several generations ( we can’t rebuild in a day ).  You have to provide for yourself and you can’t rely on Year Two outside delivery.  In fact you can’t rely on food deliveries for a very long time, even under a collapse as “benign” as an economic collapse.  A one year supple ain’t going to cut it ( which is why I advocate grain first.  You need to buy A LOT of food for the family.  Add better food later if you have time ).  I would start at a three year supply and quickly go to five years.  A decade should be your goal.  There is going to be a lot of hunkering down, crops lost to brigands, weather anomalies and other unexpected problems before you train yourself through experience to feed yourself.  And even then, you’ll still experience crop loss as a continual war footing develops as brigandage devolves into combating potential kings.  You can’t just wait for the neighbors to die off and then plant their front lawn.  There will be a need to replenish almost all depleted soil, then fight to keep it ( and everything else you will need ).

END

23 comments:

  1. Thats odd. Up until today my blogroll had your site as not having been updated in months. Yet today it finally showed up as a new post.

    Weird.

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    1. Black Cat Dude ( Russel 1200 ) seems to have had the same issue. I have no idea cause or fix.

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  2. Again, Jim is right. (though I hate to admit it).
    1 year gets you to the point that either law and order is firmly re-established, or new chaos/war is the order of the day.
    Look at how long wars last- small ones can last years (look at bosnia) big global ones can last decades. The 30year war of Europe lasted, well, about 30 years, and farmers never knew when an army would pass through trampling their crops, siezing their stores and raping their women. MILLIONS died, and Millions more never knew a year without a war in their country.
    How much food would the survivors of that war tell you to hide away?
    A couple hundred pounds?
    A ton?
    Multiple tons hidden in every available place?-
    Plus a diversity of crops unrecognized or hard to plunder by the refugees and armies?

    Expect to become a walking refugee if you live near any city. Being a walking refugee and being stocked up on tons of grain sounds like a conflict. Its not with just one other ingrediant- JUNK LAND. Avoid the refuge camps (death camps, internment camps, etc) by having scattered cheap junk land so you have a _destination_.
    A destination where you know where the water is, where you know where some food and tools are hidden.

    If you cant store tons of grain on your suburban 1/10th acre lot that is OK, you dont want it all there anyways. Bury lots more on the parcels (several) of 'junk' land you have- along with hidden tools to allow you to farm and rebuild(metal _anything_ was considered plunder or turned into weapons).

    And dont forget to plan for _walking_ to your junk land- this is the ONLY place that freeze dried food makes any sense, bugging out with freeze dried food a GOOD water filter, and way to heat it will keep you alive until your build your version of the Bison Pit of Doom (me, I only have enough freeze dried for 1 week, the walk to my closest land is only a half day long, further land will be resupplied from there or require vehicles/money).

    Most people reading the finely follicaled ones imploration to prepare for decades, will get a couple more weeks food (at most). But if you do it now it will be cheaper than later, and those weeks will give you the strength to turn canibal on your neighbor, which is all anyone really wants right? /sarcasm off

    -Grey

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    1. And, your description the only way bugging out makes sense. Within walking distance. I don't any of us comprehind the cost of food NOT grown with carbon fuel inputs. Buying grain now will be like 2 cent rimfire a year ago going for a buck each next year. If that is even close to the differance.

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  3. Hell me and the wife have no freaking clue how much food we got stashed ! All I know is that we have been buying and stashing extra for a long time lol.
    Only things I know the total on are:
    1500 lbs wheat
    500 lbs oats
    500 lbs beans
    500 lbs rice
    200 lbs corn meal
    500 lbs sugar
    500 lbs salt
    100 lbs coffee

    Believe me the list goes on and freaking on, and gets bigger all the time. hell I don't know how long we can make it on what we got. But damn straight I know we are way ahead of the average sheeple...

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    1. You better get cracking on that coffee stash! The rest is worthless without coffee. Hell, I'm going to be out of meat and Twinkies and in a year cigarettes, I damn sure need my coffee. I do need to get more salt though. 100 lbs isn't that great a stash.

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    2. I figure on converting to a local plant that is native here, which has tons of caffeine. Figure that any more coffee would just go bad before I could use it. At my current consumption a hundred is bout two years. She don't drink it. Tobacco I already grow, something ya'll cain't do up yonder.
      BTW be on the lookout fer that book, sent it out monday...

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    3. Upon book arrival, your place amongst the top ranking minions is assured.

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  4. Jim, would you agree that each individual has to adapt to not only his surroundings but his own personal limitations. For instance, I am a 12 gauge shotgun kind of guy. I don't see well enough for hunting rifles, even if equipped with good scopes. I couldn't drag big game back to the homestead if I killed some. I ain't going to plow any fields but still hope to survive on trap lines and well placed 22LR shots. Rabbit stew and a occasional fish maybe. Of course, I am a big fan of white rice and beans. Your thoughts. the rat

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    1. I myself would probably be better off sticking with the 22, but alas more asshats keep moving here and/or having more kids. I'm going to be killing more people than big game ( I hope, unless they get me first ). I don't see any big issues with your stategy- ya gotta know your limitations.

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  5. James,
    What one is trying to do with food storage is survive until the population level comes into balance with the new carrying capacity of the area where you are. Essentially by using this strategy you're hoping to hide, bunker, etc until the requisite percentage of the population has died off or someone has managed to rectify the situation such that the present population is mostly sustainable at least in the medium term. Having a year of stored food does improve your odds significantly. Three years would improve those same odds more. Remember, if 90% of the population is to perish, this still means that 10% of the population survives. My best guess is that having about 30M calories of stored food (about 30 man-years) and a fairly substantial number of cheap weapons and ammunition, forgetting not of course lots of water filters and antibiotics and a course of immunizations typical for long-term visitors of the 3rd world, would get you up to around 50% survival probability in a 90-95% dieoff scenario. The hardest part is being able to identify a workable set of allies for such circumstances.

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    1. Well, you can still get relitively cheap food. Weapons? Ammo? Not so much. If shotguns aren't feasable, the next cheapest is 223 bolts and 60cent Russian ammo. Still almost $2k a person for that.

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    2. A combo gun might not be a bad option either James? I know that Savage (I believe?) had a .22LR/20Ga version that seemed pretty nice. If it's the shotguns feasibility that's an issue as far as range goes, I hear tell that the sabot slugs are significantly better that the old rifled slugs? I have read, at least with the 12Ga version, that they will reach out to 150 yards. The M6 scout is another option if you can find one? And there were enough made that you should be able to? This one was a .410/.22LR combo.

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    3. On paper, a good idea. In practice, all your eggs in one basket. I'd rather have two seperate guns in case one breaks.

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  6. My Corona corn mill grinds corn,
    beans, dried meat etc
    I don't know how long they last.
    I bought that one in 1968.

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    1. I don't know about "forever", but its got to be close.

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    2. I bought a wondermill heard they are good stuff. Seems to work very well. But we also have a Corona for backup. Amazing how much shit you can pile up after thirty or so years of doing this prep thing lol. Still, even after that long we keep adding to the pile !
      Huge advantage here in the Sunshine state is the fact you can forage and eat well from wild edibles. IF ! You know what is what. Hard part will be avoiding the city slickers till they all kill each other off and or starve. Water everywhere here, yet they'll all die of dysentery I'm sure....

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    3. Have a gator farm. Meat, and a refugee/burglar trap. You are welcome- I've got a million of these great ideas.

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    4. Actually our lil place out in the bush is surrounded by marsh. The 2 1/2 acres are the only high ground for about a half mile, other than the lane coming in. Which can easily be blocked off. So if they come in it'll be like a freaking shooting gallery lol. Plenty of gators and moccasins out in the wet stuff, along with monster rattlers ! Them slickers ain't likely to go out thru that stuff. Now BUBBA...you gotta worry bout...not too many of him tho. Not to mention he can pretty well feed himself, unlike them yuppie slime.
      I may be educated but for certain not brainwashed as a Star Bucks Yuppie scum sucker...

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    5. "Hard part will be avoiding the city slickers till they all kill each other off and or starve."

      Take a cue from the escaped slaves, and head out to the everglades spud. An air boat can be your bugout vehicle.

      I'm only semi-kidding :D

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    6. Canoe. Silent and no moving parts to break except oar. Although, so slow a gator can climb in.

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  7. The rattlsnake is easily harvested,
    nutritious, survival food.
    One might say that the rattler is
    to the desert as the porcupine is
    to the north woods.

    http://www.fitday.com/fitness-articles/nutrition/healthy-eating/the-nutrition-of-snake.html

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    1. We have a few gopher snakes, but like everything else here ( except asswhore Cali refugees ), the population is rather small.

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