Thursday, March 21, 2013

3pc2v2no7


3PC2v2no7

THREE PHASES CIVILIZATION COLLAPSE

ECONOMIC COLLAPSE-500 Year Cycle

 

Way back in the day a perfect storm of military technology, economics, politics and a smidge of good timing ( with perhaps more thrown in, but close enough ) all converged to send Europeans out globally on a bloody ( well, not so bloody.  Mostly pus-filled and oozy as smallpox did a lot of the heavy lifting for the conquerors ) campaign of looting and rapine and to the victors there was a planet, minus a few interiors of Africa and South America and China and a bit of ice on the poles, worth of ore and energy wealth.  The local inhabitants had thoughtfully left everything belowground well enough alone and focused mostly on tilling the soil, cutting firewood and slaughtering anything on hooves.  Those heathen savages!  Don’t they realize that living sustainably produces no wealth?  If you’re not willing to mine the earth-to include its fertile soil- than you can’t enrich the King, and oh so much more importantly you can’t enrich the banker that loans the King money.  You think the Federal Reserve is bad now?  The bankers funded genocide back then ( not to say they won’t now.  Since the bankers hold the control over the corporations that control most of the food trade, it wouldn’t be too hard to starve whomever they wished.  Who needs nuclear weapons when you control the grain? ).  Well, Europeans took over the place and over several centuries they mined the wealth. 

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Perhaps too well, as come the start of the twentieth century there were starting to get to be slim pickings on the colonial front.  Germany didn’t much care being left the scrapes, a few crappy Pacific islands that took too much coal to get to ( only to be greeted by headhunters on arrival ) and African countries that were only slightly better.  If she was to continue to expand economically and militarily she wanted a more equitable division of the globe.  Not that Germany was the sole party responsible for WWI, she was much more the patsy.  Other issues were certainly involved.  But that war was the last fight over colonies for their land.  That model of wealth extraction was left face down in the flooded trenches of the western front.  Luckily for the Europeans, oil as the next wealth creator came shortly thereafter and they got the dubious distinction of then having to participate in that fight as well ( and Germany once again got the short end of the stick.  Whereas the English, those who caused the most colonial bloodshed after the Spanish got through, escaped karmas wraith most deftly by toadying up to the Yanks ).  For barely over half a century the Oil War won by the Americans created more wealth than the last 450 years of colonial based extraction.  And now it is over.  Over so fast that a lot of folks alive now experienced its birth, and over so fast that most of us refuse to believe it.

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To create wealth, you must have excess energy.  When the sun shines when it should and enough rain falls and when the soil has been looked after properly a farmer gets a lot more food than he can eat.  The excess energy in all those forms created a surplus.  A seam of coal, a reservoir of solar energy built up over long periods ( I actually have a problem blindly accepting the current carbon fuel formation theories, but even if abiotic oil theories are correct-more dubiousness-their replenishment rate being so negligible makes the whole thing moot.  Nonetheless, we’ll just go along with conventional wisdom on this one ), is excess energy you can create wealth with.  Wealth is not more pieces of paper.  Paper currency is merely a trading tool to claim abstract forms of excess energy.  Our economy is at the point we are substituting paper for growth, growth being possible only by more excess energy.  We still get and have oodles and gobs of energy, but a combination of population growth ( oil use per capita has remained constant- all the extra extraction did was match population growth ) and the increased energy needed to extract the remaining energy have led us to a place where we are stationary.  Energy keeps being extracted, but there is no more surplus to create wealth with.  We are merely fueling the machine already in place without enough extra left over to create growth.  And growth is a holy mantel because without growth you can’t fund interest payments and without those the whole economic paradigm starts falling apart. 

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For five hundred years, the wests economies ( and those trying to emulate the west ) have been founded on wealth extraction on a growing scale.  Growth is never possible indefinitely, yet that is exactly what our economy has become.  Without growth in the economy, there is no economy.  And the end of growth came right as the growth in oil extraction ended.  Because oil WAS the only energy.  Coal can nicely power up our Sony Playstations, but the electric grid doesn’t fund the bankers.  Oil does.  Right now, the U.S. is still treading above water only because the world is still allowing the Petro-Dollar standard to stand.  End the trading of oil for dollars and there is nothing propping up our economy other than the trillions of e-dollars we create every year.  We have used our military, funded in the past with excess energy, to protect the Saudi’s who insist their oil be bought for American currency.  One nuke over the Saudi oil processing facility and the US economy instantly folds.  That is what it has come to, the gift of Arab leaders to play our game of financing our empire ( the Chinese loans to us for our Treasuries are mere paper promises.  Our real lender of last resort is the Saudi’s, lending our currency legitimacy ).  The end game of 500 years of wealth extraction is the last of the Arab oil propping up our empire.

END

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3 comments:

  1. Makes me wonder why the Chinese are vilified so much for "owning the US", that is, if the Saudis demand for US dollars does in fact keep our economy propped. Why would they allow themselves t be put in such a position of owning such a large percentage of inherently worthless paper?



    M

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. OK, I could be wrong here, but I think that any paper they buy from us can be used as settlement in petroleum purchases. Collateral for the clearing house, or actual payment. So, Treasuries to Oil.

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  2. Maybe it is because tptb have decided Chinas star is on the rise and they "earn their stripes" by assisting in Americas final decline. A quid pro quo if you will. They get to be the new boss and help whack the old one... Hrm., either way, they are getting tangibles with our script. Do you think we will see the Saudis demand gold some day or will they accept the people's currency?

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