Wednesday, May 16, 2012

not just survive but thrive

NOT JUST SURVIVE BUT THRIVE
Now, for those who erroneously believe I am an evil little troll who delights in the prospect of unprecedented pain and suffering for 99.9% of the globes population any time soon now as the petroleum supply contracts much quicker than in times past since this time around there is no replacement fuel elsewhere and so the rate of pumping depleting fields will intensify as a result, you are mostly correct.  Alas, the Devil is in the details.  While I’m prepared to enjoy the collapse as long as it only affects other people, I’m only enjoying it out of self preservation and not because I hold a mental deficiency in which I truly revel in others pain and suffering.  It is just like soldiers, cops or others who confront death daily who erect a wall of indifference and morbid humor to deflect what would otherwise be a soul crushing reality.  You have to laugh in the face of approaching death because otherwise you just lie whimpering in the corner in the fetal position suckling your thumb.  You may believe that a half million barrels a day of North Dakota frac oil only drilled now that oil is staying at a hundred bucks a barrel will save the day.  But this is just positive proof that the end of Cheap Oil happened more than a half a decade ago.  Frac oil cost six to eight million bucks a well head to drill and that unit can lose up to 80% of its yield after the first year.  And when you turn half your national corn yield into low energy ethanol, only replacing single digits of motor fuel use, you ain’t on the road to energy independence.  You are well down the road to running out of energy.  We will drain out all the old fields of their natural gas using fracking, and suck up the reachable rock oil in North Dakota, and that has certainly bought us some valuable time.  But just as monetizing your debt only kicks the can down the road so long before you experience a financial meltdown, so using low yield energy only keeps your high use low cost energy civilization together so long before one day you are losing energy too quick and critical infrastructure starts to fail and starts a chain reaction.  Civilizations end in a much messier manner than economies. 
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And, if you please, even totally discounting the entire Peak Oil argument, by of course just painting me with the Crazy Bastard Brush, you still get to worry about a whole slew of other disasters waiting in line such as the legions of Olympic size pools full of spent fuel rods which rely on electrically induced flows of cooling water to keep them from blowing up and farting tons of radioactive crap into my quota of breathable oxygen or the escalating release ( speaking of farting ) of methane from the ocean beds and tundra or the new bizarre as normal weather playing havoc with our crop yields, or take your pick of the potential disaster de jour.   This country is already in a National Socialist mode of governance, the entire population subserviently making no fuss as the average citizen is told he or she may be detained indefinitely without trial, yet as soon as their officially granted form of free wealth is threatened such as when Butt Pirates or Carpet Lickers can’t get free health care from their civil servants coverage because they aren’t allowed to be legally married, why then all Hell breaks loose and the vengeful haters go on strike.  There are absolutely no impediments to rolling out a dictatorship in this country other than the high level of Federal incompetence.  The “voters”, those brainwashed welfare pukes who allow themselves to believe in the myth of democracy if it pays good hard cash, think nothing of rewarding the next Hitler, Stalin or Obammy as long as their checks are continually deposited in the bank and they are able to withdraw it before the bank closes down ( and no, this isn’t a rant against poor people on welfare.  Rich people are far worse offenders, churning out ten billion dollar airplanes that fall out of the sky as soon as they are painted by enemy radar or arming our poverty stricken conscripts with rimfire carbines that jam every fifth magazine ).  All those idiots whispering about Black Helicopters and UN troops and the Rothchild family rigging elections.  Shitte!  FDR offered the masses a government check in exchange for the Constitution and they not only eagerly agreed, they erected statues of the crippled puke and put a framed portrait in every government office.  All Hail Mighty Caesar!   There is no “selling out your grandchildren”.  That happened generations ago.  The only thing we are waiting on is the arming of every government uniformed agent, law enforcement or otherwise, with machineguns and giving them the authority to fire at will.  Then the classic dictatorship aspects of governance will appear plain.  They already have the legal authority and the approval of the masses.  Total one man god like power was granted decades ago during the Cold War.  Once we see enough resource depletion and uber-rich wealth destruction, the velvet gloves will come off.
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You can take all your Peak Oil, your Yellowstone eruptions, your sun spot eruptions, and they only make a bit of difference as far as ADDING to the problems we already have which are economic meltdown and total government control of all aspects of our lives ( which, to reiterate, has been law for generations- the bleating and hand wringing are being done as if there is still a choice we can make ).  Collapse, as I keep saying, is already a done deal ( yes, depletion caused the economics and government action, but while I care about that, you only need care about the effects ).  All solutions being applied are from eighty years ago prior to resource depletion.  They won’t work.  This isn’t the fanciful imagination of introverts consuming too many conspiracy theories on that brand spanking new device called the InterWeb, convinced that Y2K will kill us all ( I’ll leave the final word to my loyal minion who has more experience in the field to conclude that the crisis was real- even if it hadn’t been the experience wasn’t a waste as preps are never a bad investment ).  This is no more complicated than that which has toppled most civilizations in the past, economic meltdown leading to military defeat and overpopulation.  Sure, I’m of the Mayan School of Collapse, the view that we have run out of corn during a drought and we have too many pyramid builders to feed.  And I’m still sticking with the Peak Oil view.  But even if you don’t, you can’t deny economic collapse and dictatorship.  They have been happening already.  The only questions left are how much time before we can’t react proactively anymore and the particular effects of the process as far as affecting us personally.  It isn’t “what could possible go wrong?”.  That is asking how we can get into town AFTER the horse has bolted from the barn.  If we had gotten a second job while we still had the horse, and stashed away a bit of silver to be able to buy another horse, that is one thing.  Once the one and only horse is gone it is too late.  Stop asking the wrong question.  It isn’t what could go wrong.  It already has.  Only the question of time remains.
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And so it simply amazes me when folks get together on certain Yuppie Survivalist forums and clap each other on the back and award the Ultimate Schmuck Award Of The Decade to each other as they talk about how in only fifteen years they will move out to the country once they find their perfect retreat location, conveniently forgetting that in that time frame there will be about another fifteen million to twenty five million mouths to feed in this country and even if nothing whatsoever goes wrong which is highly improbably although not impossible you will have a heck of a lot more overcrowding and a lot of once perfect locations are going to be jammed cheek to jowl and your three hundred thousand dollar retreat is now next to a new ghetto they erected twenty miles from the nearest water source so your deep well is sucked dry by the new neighbors.  But even the ignorance there doesn’t move me to tears as much as the assumption that every reader thinks he is the new Survivalist Guru Messiah.   Folks, a few very smart people ( which doesn’t include me.  I was your basic idiot thinking Y2K in the city wasn’t a death sentence.  Keep mind my own ignorance and shame thereof as I’m delivering this message.  Be smarter than me, not as stupid.  As they say, God looks after children, drunks and imbeciles.  I can only be the latter as I’ve been blessed to avoid paying for all my stupid strategies in years past ) moved out to the middle of nowhere twenty years ago and are teaching about their experience and making money off of it.  That option is not open to you.  Stop trying to emulate it.  The real estate was much cheaper back then, both because we haven’t erased all the gains from the bubble and because the locals are hyper-jacking tax rates in a desperate attempt to survive.  The land is more crowded, it costs more to get some, it costs a heck of a lot more to stay there, you can’t get bank financing if you are silly enough try that and there are no jobs to be had.  And back then, we weren’t in a friggin Depression, you humping moron!  Oil was $20 a barrel and all corresponding consumer items reflected that.  Every prep item was one third the price.  Really?  You want to copy the strategy of pallets full of ammo so that you can go play Army out in the woods?  Forget about it getting you killed, you can’t afford it.  And you certainly don’t have twenty years to prepare.  This crap is going down now.
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Do you know why the news last Friday on a bank losing two billion in a trade was a big deal?  Two billion ain’t diddly squat crap any more.  The fedgov borrows that every couple of hours.  Well, borrows is such an ugly word, and not very accurate.  Every few hours the fedgov is given two billion by the central bank, the government will henceforth and forever more pay interest on it, and both parties congratulate themselves on how smart they are and boy howdy wasn’t it a good thing they went to Harvard?  The loan will never be paid back.  When you borrow 40% of your yearly budget, there ain’t any left over to pay back past loans, even if you are being creative by conjuring up a recovery and using that as justification for cutting out the extended unemployment bennies ( the fabled “99 weeks” ), thereby slowing the economic implosion from speed of light to merely the speed of sound.  Whew!  We sure dodged a bullet there!  Once we cut all payments to everyone we can stay in power another year and a half!  Anyway, when a bank loses two billion, it is such a small amount in the big picture.  And I’m sure the central bank will step in to cover the lose ( I believe it was JP Morgan ).  But it is still a dangerous sign of the times.  Two billion cash money covers hundreds of billions in derivatives bets.  Remember those pesky derivatives?  They are what is allowing the can to be kicked down the road but they are also going to be the cause of the global financial implosion.  Once the measly assets holding the whole rotted ball of hope and dreams together fails, the chain reaction starts.  Which is why all the money printing over in Europe.  Let one small loan go belly up and the whole thing unravels.  Two billion this time with JP Morgan, no big deal, we’ll cover that bad boy.  One day a couple or three of those at the same time and they get away from the lever pullers and in minutes your ATM network is down for the count with the indefinite bank holiday ( with full credit to the fine novel “Shut Down” ).
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The point is not that we will all die next Wednesday.  No one can predict that.  Which is my friggin point exactly.  You can’t know for sure how much time is left.  The economic meltdown could be minutes or years away.  How much warning did you get in 2007?  As I always said in years gone by, be prepared as if the collapse is tomorrow.  Then, recently, I got a lot of pressure from Fraq Fags ( this is the “we will remain on top of the global food chain for the next hundred years because I heard one idiot guess we have a century of natural gas left” types.  They have little or no relation to pillow biting butt pirates who individually are usually pretty nice fellows to hang around but as a whole are obnoxious momma boy cry babies over not being allowed to be a recognized rewarded minority.  I’m not allowed to be a minority of one for having the worlds best looking hair and being the biggest pain in the ass but you don’t hear me whining ) and the AR worshipers about how cruel and mean I am for only allowing minions to eat wheat gruel  and only arm themselves with single shot rifles.  So of course I caved to political pressure and I’ve slightly amended my position to the new “have your basic preps yesterday, then if we don’t all die a horrible and elongated death you should upgrade to better supplies”.  You would have thought this would have appeased everyone and my legions of willing cannon fodder eager to conquer the Great Basin ( come on, be realistic.  No one else will want the bitch, so the odds are good we’ll roll over the opposition and you’ll actually survive ) would grow to embarrassing proportions and my personal wealth would have grown and my junk would have been the death of me as crowds of willing virgins threw themselves at me and wore out my aged heart but alas the exact opposite happened and now I have to deal with some bullcrap about “I don’t want to just survive, I want to thrive!”.  Oh my sweet lord Baby Jesus.  Are you people actually for real?  Do you have any conception of how civilizations collapse?  I’m willing to place a large part of my token paycheck in the bet that you really believe the rest of the 330 million asshating whoremongering dillholing mouth breathing oxygen wasters will leave you in peace to tend to your asparagus garden as they starve to death.
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Anyone been paying attention to the middle east or East Africa lately?  Hillary might be spouting crap about democracy or other such drivel but those fine folks have been under dictatorship for multiple generations and they didn’t make a whole lot of fuss before.   It wasn’t until the poor couldn’t buy cheap subsidized grain anymore that the masses revolted.  You don’t risk your life if you are the sole breadwinner of the family until you can’t bring bread home anymore.  Do you think it is just a coincidence that Mexico is now a failed state right after the one/two punch of oil field depletion and the end to American corn?  Folks living down on the border, your friendly FedGov has sold you out to the border incursion criminal gangs so the voters in Yankeeland can fill up on subsidized ethanol laced gasoline ( a year on, I’m glad I retired the truck as our towns last station went over to the crap ethanol polluted gasoline just recently.  The truck, being a patriotic all American built unit, didn’t take kindly to First Kenyan mandated fake fuel ) to keep their banker owned SUV’s running back and forth to the MakeWork jobs to keep the mortgage payments coming.  When California blows, 90% due to their own ignorant Socialist wishful thinking and 10% due to the Feds refusing a bailout but only offering a low interest loan as if that bunghole of a location needs anymore debt, all those worthless idiots are going to rush the exits and flood the rest of the country as refugees ( I’m speaking of a pre-Apocalypse exodus, due to finances ) and then, come the collapse, every location out there is going to have twice as many mouths it can’t feed when we are forced overnight to go from petroleum farming to organic farming.  Hint, the soil is dead, the cities suburbs are paved over and the aquifers are depleted, so good luck surviving that.  Starvation could, from any number of causes from grid down to dollar down to Straights Of Hormuz down, be in our immediate future.  Baring an armed, provisioned army, you are double humped.  You will be damned lucky to survive and I can guarantee you, you will get religion darn quick on the new definition of luxury.
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You really think you have the luxury of time to buy only freeze dried foods, exotic imported spices, and vast selections to ensure variety of your menu?  You will be lucky if you get enough calories.  Of ANY kind.  Your home in the suburbs or your Uncle’s farmhouse, they are targets.  If you can get enough armed hands to defend yourself, great.  You have a chance.  Now, try to both A) buy them enough ammunition for their semi-auto’s and B) a varied, high cost luxury food supply.  You can’t.  The only thing you can afford, past the two or three person level, is bolt action ammo and basic grains and beans.  And the beans will be a luxury as they are twice the cost of grain.  We aren’t playing around here with a two week disruption from a tornado here.  We are talking about actual lack of food imports to feed your community.  What killed the Roman Empire quicker than snot?  A combination of inflation, military over extension, overpopulation and weather change.  Sound familiar?  The Romans owned the trade routes, the currency, had the most advanced military of the day, and as the weather that fed a million city pukes a day from imported Egyptian wheat changed, there wasn’t a way to feed everyone.  And the empire disintegrated.  And all the rich Senators living in luxury, eating only the best foods, died with the rest.  Take a friggin clue, please!  Assume the worst and prepare with multiple years of food.  If it is less than perfect food, it is still calories.  And for humps sake, get it while the cost is still reflected with relatively cheap oil. 

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10 comments:

  1. why so negative dude? i think the contry is headed in the right direction.if pres. obama can win one more time things will improve,i'm sure of that. you have to remember how screwed up it was when he took over from bush. obama has truly done an amazing job, it would be far worse if a republican was presidnet.

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  2. Jim,
    Check out http://www.usatoday.com/money/industries/energy/story/2012-05-15/1A-COV-ENERGY-INDEPENDENCE/54977254/1?csp=hf

    The title of the article is "U.S. energy independence is no longer just a pipe dream".

    I am not a great analyst but I am agreement that the natural gas and oil fracking is a dead end. If you look at the charts in the article, in my mind, we are not importing as much oil not because we are becoming oil independent so much as our economy is imploding and there is less oil to import. We might be able to extend the crap game a little longer, however, with conservation, higher mileage car requirements, financial tweaking, fracking, resource wars, government deception, etc. People seem to be too frightened to admit the "new", uncomfortable world is coming precisely because somewhere inside of them, they know the truth and don't want it. The change is too great for most people to accept and I am beginning to believe they prefer the prospect of death rather than the end of the world as we now know it. Also, hope springs eternal (false hope or not) due in part to our hard wired brain (sort of a coping mechanism). It's why we often resort to believing in apocalypse, rebirth, and life after death or life after peak oil. It's also why many of us believe "survivalism" might get us to the other side of collapse.

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  3. The typical prepper (which is not the same thing as people who have blogs) is as best I can tell 55 years old. If they wait 15 years, math tells me that they will be 70.

    I don't know about you, but at 70 I am going to do my best to help my child along, and hope like h-ll that the ac stays on.

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  4. I realize this is the equivalent of the second coming but I AGREE WITH YOU! Sure civilization is swirling down the crapper of lunacy and gaining speed. If you needed validation here it is. YOU are Right.

    Now that having been said, so what. We can't do a damn thing to stop it, the snow ball effect also working on shitballs. Why not just enjoy the ride.By the time we get marched to the Fema camps I'll be to far gone to make the trip so big deal. I guess my preps consist of growing old, getting out of the way, and finally dying.

    Jesus! Jim, go get a beer and go the movies or something. Your point was well made 4 years ago.

    the mohave rat

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  5. agree with you and the rat.if it finishes in next 15 i take as many as i can. since im east of the missi.after 15 i hide as long as i can and then snipe the bastards til it's over. the most dangerous man is a pissed off sgt with an enfield!

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  6. Reality sure do suck !

    Keep it coming oh messenger of bitter truisms.

    Far too many in the Blogosphere, perceive that if only we get our freedoms back. Life will once again be all Mayberry...wishing in circles for the improbable.

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  7. One major issue with prepping/stockpiling is where to stash your accumulated stuff. And yes, that includes the all important muli-year food supply.

    In a SHTF situation, thief or gov agency confiscation will be rampant. Sure, in the movies (e.g. Terminator 2) one simply sinks a shipping container into the ground out in the boondocks. Get Real.

    Let's use you as an example. In order to help make a living you essentially broadcast your plans and location. Hmmm, life's realities sure do get in the way of the perfect plan, don't they Jimbo.

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  8. "...erroneously believe I am an evil little troll who delights in the prospect of unprecedented pain and suffering for 99.9% of the globes population any time soon now..."

    You say that as if it's a bad thing, heh. Keep it up, Mighty Lord Bison!

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  9. welcome to Hell

    humans are great if you stocked away the right spices

    bon' apetite!

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  10. http://www.hemphasis.net/Fuel-Energy/fuel.htm

    Hemp is a source of fuel

    ReplyDelete